Hi,</p>
I was just wondering, with all the bad financial news coming out of the US the last few days, how this might affect the music business, specifically the organ business. Looking at the NAMM statistics for institutional organs (electronic), sales went down about 7% last year from the year before. But they are down about 25% from 2002. In 2002 about 3,800 organs were sold. Last year about 2,700. The statistics back up what I hear from friends who are in the organ business.
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With increased financial problems, continuing shifts in worship styles in churches, as well as declines in the financial health of churches, this can only mean a time of trouble for organ manufacturers, organ dealers, etc. The fact that that there are fewer people available to play the organ doesn't help.
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Here in Canada, society has become very secular, church attendance is less than half of what it is in the US. Most of the mainline protestant churches have parishes of mostly elderly people. Church closures and amalgamations are common. It is said, if things don't change in the next 2 years, there will be an increased stampede of church closures.</p>
I have also noticed, that it is mostly older folks who buy organs. Unless more younger folks take an interest in the organ and it's literature, the organ marketplace will change dramatically in the next few years. There have already been a number of organ companies that have ceased to trade. My guess is that there are several others in a state of poor health. One thing about lower sales, is that there is less money available for R & D. Maybe this has already explained why there have not been great improvements in what manufacturers offer.</p>
It is not only organs that are in a pickle. Again, from NAMM statistics, acoustic and digital piano sales, are way off as well. Acoustic piano sales are barely half of what they were 10 years ago. Even digital piano sales have peaked and are on the way down. Companies like Ibach, Seiler have gone under. Earlier this year Bosendorfer was rescued by Yamaha.
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I do service work on select electronic organs. I am one of very few left in my area doing this work. But increasingly, churches are letting their instrument languish in a state of disrepair. The organ is not used much in places that bought a new instrument as recently as 10 years ago. I also work in a large music store, selling pianos (both digital and acoustic). While sales there are steady, what sells in numbers are guitars, drum kits, and keyboards under $1,000. In other words, as long as it doesn't cost too much, folks will buy it. If it costs over $1,000, people think long and hard about spending their hard earned cash.</p>
I just hope that the financial crisis is just a short term blip. Otherwise, our favourite organ company, or piano company will be out of business.</p>
AV</p>
P.S. As for the pipe organ business, it is also in slow decline, but those companies that are still around, are generally in fairly good shape, and building organs at a very high standard, both in terms of build quality but also in terms of tonal design. Just my opinion of course.
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